Daily Fantasy Strategy

Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and this link to sign up for DraftDay. You will be registered under me. If they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you will be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

Not the greatest week last week but didnt lose back too much, nearly break even. I had Adrian Peterson in 60% of my lineups and he went down early with a ankle injury, such is the variance of football. Denarious Moore crushed most of my lineups as well, he only had one catch on a measly two targets, OAK grinded the game with 30 carries to Michael Bush. I was correct about Detriot running the ball, but they ran the wrong guy for me as Maurice Morris didnt do much as off-the-street Kevin Smith burst with a huge day.

I did manage a 163 pt line up on DraftDay that scored back most of my failed entries with Peterson, Moore, and Morris.

Onto this weeks picks:

Matt Ryan vs MIN ($8200/$14115) Not really many QBs I like this week with Cam Newton, Brees, Brady match ups but Matt Ice has been playing well as of late, is at home versus the 28th ranked PassD that gives up most fantasy points to QBs. Bit more value on FanDuel than DraftDay but should fair well for his price. Just hope Ponder and MIN can put up some points to keep the Ryan throwing it.

Steven Jackson vs ARI ($8200/$12380) He’s a bit pricey, sure, but SJax is back and running hard. Now he has the 28th ranked rushing D coming to his house in the ARI-D that he gashed for 130yds in their first meeting.

Brandon Lloyd vs ARI ($7200/$11880) Lloyd is Bradford’s favorite target with a whopping 14 throws his way last week. It’s targets that turn into production and he should be the main target vs the 25th ranked Arizona defense.

Jacob Tamme vs CAR ($5000/$3950) Paniter has to find someone to throw to when he’s running for his life and that was Tamme two weeks ago on 8 targets he had 6 catches. For some reason he’s $5000 on FanDuel so the value is really on DraftDay.

Quick fix K & D: Josh Brown ($5000/$5050) and the Steelers D is massively underpriced at ($5000/$5625)

I might throw out a pick or two tomorrow morning so make sure you follow me on Twitter: (click here to follow)

Good luck!

-Joe

As you know if you follow me on Twitter, (click here to follow) that I won the $5 Frenzy on DraftDay for $720. I had my best weekend, winning over $1100. I broke even on FanDuel, I did make a near min-cash ($15) in the $12k NFL Punt which is the big $5 tournament.

Onto the picks:

It’s a thin week for RBs and I really like only a few QB match ups (Rodgers, Brady) but I love:

Carson Palmer @ MIN ($6800/$13075) Palmer looked great on the road in San Diego and now he faces another beat up secondary with in Minnesota. Should be great value here, just hope MIN can score some to make the game competitive as they struggled last week vs GB.

Maurice Morris vs CAR ($5800/$8760) Stafford has a broken index finger on his throwing hand. Carolina has the worst run D in the league (32nd). I’m not a football coach at all. In fact, I even suck at calling plays on Madden, but I could probably think of a game plan for Detroit at home on the turf here.

Marshawn Lynch @ STL ($10775/$7200) He seems to be back in BEAST MODE.

Nuff said.

Denarius Moore @ MIN ($5400/$8690) Ford is out this week and when he went down last week Palmer found him. This kid can fly and should rise again vs the beleaguered MIN secondary.

Earl Bennet vs SD ($5100/$8225) I kinda feel weird posting about a Chicago WR but Mr. Orange cleats is starting to show some rapport with Jay Cutler. In a PPR, that converts to Fantasy points. If he can finally find the endzone, he’ll be great value at this low price.

I really only like Gronk in my lineups but he’s a bit pricey. However their are two others I am considering.

Dennis Pitta vs CIN ($4700/$3000) He has shown some consistency with Flacco over the last 3 games with 8,8,7 targets and 6,5,4 receptions and in a PPR this is solid at this low price, especially on DraftDay.

Kyle Rudolph vs OAK ($4500/$3000)He is a risk but Shiancoe has a hamstring issue and is listed as questionable and Rudolph is a future stud. He made a sick one handed catch on Monday night that turned some heads. Watch it click HERE.

Quick pick K&D: Josh Brown ($5100/$5050), NE vs KC ($5100/$5395)

Good luck this week!

Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and this link to sign up for DraftDay. You will be registered under me. If they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you will be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

Crazy week for me sorry so late on update. 7 month pregnant wife is on bed rest (she’s OK its just a precaution), my folks are here to help out, thank you mom. Sorry this is so short.

Here are the value picks to look at:

Christian Ponder @GB ($6800/$8775) Lets face it, the kid is going to have to throw a ton. Lets just hope he doesnt turn it over much.

Jackie Battle vs DEN ($5600/$8445) I’m not big on Battle by any means but he’s the feature back on KC. He’ll plod enough and hopefully score to get some value here. I honestly like the premier backs much better to pick a value RB.

Damien Williams @ CAR ($5000/$6420) He’s young, he’s good, his targets have increased, NWash is banged up and TEN will be throwing a bit vs the leagues 28th pass ranked defense.

Jeremy Kerley vs NE ($4700/$3045) He’s a bit of a flyer but he’s antother young one who is seeing a target increase and now up against the 26th worst pass D in a game that should show a lot of points on Sunday night.

Jacob Tamme vs JAC ($4500/$3950) OK another gamble but Dallas Clark is out. I believe their other TE is out. He has had some flashes in the past. He’s so cheap its worth a flyer here.

Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and this link to sign up for DraftDay. You will be registered under my affiliate. If they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you will be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and this link to sign up for DraftDay. You will be registered under my affiliate. If they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you will be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

Well if you follow me on Twitter you probably saw I had a pretty sick sweat in the $10k NFL Punt on FanDuel.

Just before the late afternoon games ended I was in 2nd (careful now Bad Beat story coming):

It was looking pretty good for a good chunk of change for my $5 entry. I was feeling great. The only game left to finish out was the SEA/CIN game and I was watching it on TV when, with 40 seconds left… Reggie Nelson of Cincinatti intercepted Jackson and went for the Touchdown.

And with that, 14 teams waiting behind me that had the Cincinatti Defense jumped ahead of me and I finished I was in 16th.

After Monday night football, I ended up in 20th for a score of $80, not too bad. Can you can see most of the picks from last week came in. I even started the trio of my value picks from WR: Antonio Brown, Nate Washington and Torrey Smith and my value pick QB Manning and TE Ballard. Smith wasn’t huge but Washington and Brown were great for the price and Ballard solid. Eli was obviously solid as well. Needless to say I had a great week on FanDuel and DraftDay.

So on to this week picks:

I don’t have a cheap QB this week, I like Brady, Vick, Rodgers and Brees too much to get away from them, especially on the 6pt/TD heavy DraftDay. Maybe Matt Ryan @ IND ($8000/$14245) but I think Atlanta gets up and runs the ball out, shutting him down in the 2nd half.

LeGarrett Blount ($6400/$9545) @ NO Blount is the man now on TB, Graham is out of the season and he’s well rested from a knee injury. He should see some 3rd down work as well versus the 27th ranked rush defense of New Orleans.

Michael Bush ($6500/$9500) and Taiwan Jones ($4800/$5000) vs DEN McFadden is out. Bush should get the bulk of the work and all goal line carries but Taiwan Jones could see about 10-15 touches and has massive big play potential as he has some crazy burst, one well executed screen play to Jones could end up a being a long touchdown. (Others to consider: Mike Tolbert vs GB ($6900/$10340))

DeSean Jackson vs CHI ($7000/$11830) OK we all know DJax is feast or famine but PHI has been playing much better, the OL especially, and his big play potential is crazy. I willing to gamble on his this week for blowing it up big.

Mario Manningham ($6400/$8585) and Victor Cruz ($6400/$10770) @ NE Nicks did not make the trip to New England and I really do not have to talk about how terrible my Patriots (I’m from Boston, remind you), are on Pass D. Manningham has started to show up and now him and Cruz are going to be the two wides on the field in what should be a shootout game. (Others to consider: Damian Williams vs CIN ($4900/$6420), Santonio Holmes @ BUF ($6100/$9675))

Brent Celek vs CHI ($7330/$5200) – Vick has been finding him the last few games with TDs in his last two. Now he faces the Bears who have given up TDs to TEs in 4 out of their last 5 games. At this price, not a bad spot for a TE on the upswing.

Quick Pick K & D: Ryan Succop vs MIA ($5000/$5360), Stephen Gostkowski vs NYG ($5300/too high on DraftDay), Chiefs D vs MIA ($5300/$6115), Atlanta D @ IND ($5000/$5845)

What is FanDuel and DraftDay? FanDuel is the largest daily fantasy sports site out there and DraftDay is the newest site to launch in this growing market. You can enter many fantasy teams and wager on them legally. To see how this is legal check out my previous post click HERE.

I had a overly busy week and didn’t get a chance to do a wrap up. If you look back at the last post and the results of the players, we had a good week. I actually had a near 40% ROI on my line ups overall, that’s without cashing in any big tournaments. I won the only 10 man I played and went 7-11 HU.

Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and this link to sign up for DraftDay. You will be registered under my affiliate. If they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you will be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

Now these picks are meant to give you that salary cap room so you can get the studs in your line up like, Aaron Rodgers, Ray Rice, and Calvin Johnson. Check out this lineup from last week:

By using Earnest Graham for $7555 getting 15pts ($500/pt), I was able to put in Aaron Rodgers, Ahmad Bradshaw and Calvin Johnson (total of $40000 salary for those three) and put up a good number that will easily win most HU matches.

Lets get to this weeks picks. I am going to list the FanDuel price first and then the DraftDay FanDuel/DraftDay.

There is really only one that I’m starting other than Rodgers, Brees, Cam and Stafford:
Tim Tebow @ MIA – $7800/$11,125 – I am not much of a Tebow fan. He’s fun to watch but he just just is not a NFL QB at the moment. BUT, what he is is a decent fantasy QB and he has first start of this season, a homecoming of sorts in Miami (as they honor the 2008 Florida team in the Hurricanes stadium, wtf?) and we all know Miami’s D is suspect to say the least. He’s good for ~170PaYds, 1TD and 50yrd rushing as he vultures a rushing TD from McGahee.

Maurice Morris vs ATL – $5300/$8760 He is the man now in Detroit with Best out at least this week, very likely next week as well as they give Best three weeks off (BYE in week 9) as he suffered his 2nd concussion of the season. Morris had 5 attempts for 20 yards with Best out and he can catch the ball out of the back field which makes him great in PPR. MoMo filled in nicely last year for Best at the end of the season as he scored 5 TDs in the final 6 games of the season.

Earnest Graham vs CHI in London – $6000/$8740 A bit more value on DraftDay but with his 109RuYd and 2rec/22yrd last week, there was plenty of value. Blount is out again and hopefully Graham finds the endzone this week. (Others to consider: Mark Ingram vs IND – $6400/$8880, Daniel Thomas vs DEN $6700/$9250)

Nate Washington vs HOU – $6400/$9430 The match up is not super fantastic as Houston pass D is pretty good (10th overall) but they got burned by Anquan Boldin last week (8rec/132y). Houston-D is actually 28th vs the #1WR but 8th vs the #2WR and 3rd vs the TE, so NWash is the guy in a game that should have a lot of points scored in it.

Greg Little vs SEA – $5500/$8440 Little emerged last week with 6 catches for 72 yards. He should have had a touchdown but the sideline tackled him and he fell out bounds. Seattle pass D is ranked 27th and Little should have a good day, great value here. (Others to consider: Danario Alexander @ DAL – $5200/$7305, Dwayne Bowe @ OAK $8300/$12200 – love him on DD here at 12% salary, 14% on FD.)

Visanthe Shiancoe vs GB – $5000/$6030 OK he’s a bit of a flyer but hear me out. McNabb is finally where he belongs, on the bench. Cristian Ponder showed some poise in the rout vs Chicago, especially some pocket presence. Look for Ponder to do what rookie QBs do, find the Tight End. GB ranks 30th vs the Tight End. (Others to consider: Ed Dickson @ JAC – $5000/$7525)

Quick pick K & DEF: Connor Barth vs CHI on DraftDay $5590, Steven Hauschka on both sites $5300/$5290, Longwell on FanDuel $5200, Chargers on both sites $5000/$5360 and love the Cowboys on DraftDay for $5765.

What is FanDuel and DraftDay? FanDuel is the largest daily fantasy sports site out there and DraftDay is the newest site to launch in this growing market. You can enter many fantasy teams and wager on them legally. To see how this is legal check out my previous post click HERE.

First my weekly disclaimer that these picks are meant to help you get some value with lower salaries so you can start the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Adrian Peterson, Wes Welker, Calvin Johnson, etc. This will be also my frist time adding DraftDay picks. I will continue to bring FanDuel updates as well. Click this link to sign up for FanDuel and if they ever open the market to allow rakeback, you’ll be grandfathered in. (Rakeback is not allowed at the moment.) You will get up to a $20 deposit bonus on your first deposit.

The sites have three big differences:
Salary Cap – DraftDay is $100,000 and FanDuel is $60,000 – but the player values/salary are similar for the most part.
Passing TDs – DraftDay is 6pts. FanDuel is 4pts.
PPR – DraftDay is 1pt/reception. FanDuel is 0.5pts/reception.

FanDuel

Note on QBs this week: There isn’t any real value you picks as the top 7 QBs, Rodgers, Vick, Brady, Newton, Brees, Romo and Stafford, all have great match ups and you should find room to make combinations with them. The only flier I might take is Andy Dalton vs IND but that’s a huge gamble.

Earnest Graham vs NO – $5200 Blount is out. New Orleans run D is 16th vs RB receptions and 23rd for overall rushing. Graham has 22 receptions over five games and now will get a least 10 carries (avg 4.7 on 18 carries so far), at this price he should be valuetown.

Cedric Benson vs IND – $6800 Benson has been getting the carries for sure and Indy is 8th worst D for giving up fantasy points to RBs, 21st overall ranked for rushing. He is the primary back in this offense which is rare now in the NFL. (Others to consider: Shonn Greene vs MIA – $6800, Daniel Thomas @ NYJ – $6800)

Torrey Smith vs HOU – $5200 It’s a gamble, sure. But he could take the top off the HOU and score a big one. Put it this way, if Smith scores a TD this week it will be worth 12pts+ as it has likelihood of being over 50yds.

Darrius Heyward-Bey vs CLE – $5800 Joe Haden, CLE shutdown CB, is not expected to play this week. DHB has actually been getting it done the last few games and has seen an increase in targets (12 last week). He could be great value at this price.

Miles Austin – $7700 and Dez Bryant – $7400 @ NE I know they are a bit pricey but Belichick will shut down Jason Witten (as NE has shut down most TEs this year) and allow Romo to do what he can to keep up with Brady’s scoring. This game has shoot out written all over it as NE passing D is the worst in the league for giving up fantasy points to WRs and 28th overall in pass defense. (Others to consider: Victor Cruz vs BUF – $6000, Santonio Holmes vs MIA – $6500)

Kellen Winslow vs NO – $5500 New Orleans D is ranked 20th vs the TE and has given up the 4th most fantasy points. Blount is out, Freeman will be looking to bounce back and will find his big TE, hopefully for a score.

Dustin Keller vs MIA – $5700 The only thing the Patriots D is good at is shutting down the TE. They did this last week vs the Jets. Miami has given up the most fantasy points to TEs. Look for the Jets to get Keller back on track here. (Evan Moore @ OAK – $4800, Jake Ballard vs BUF – $5200)

K and DEF: Phil Dwason – $5200, Olindo Mare – $5200, Steelers – $5200, Bengals – $5100

DraftDay

Earnest Graham vs NO – $7555 I like him even more on DraftDay because of the 1pt/reception. See above write up!

Ryan Torain vs PHI – $8730 PHI run D is currently ranked 31st overall and 1st for giving up fantasy points to RBs. Hightower is listed as questionable but will play (and might actually start I hear today) but even with Shifty Shanny as his coach, the RB slot has to be Torain after his last performance. Note: Torain is $6800 on FanDuel and I’d rather start Benson and Greene at the same price. (Others to consider: Daniel Thomas @ NYJ – $9250, Cedric Benson vs IND – $9325, Shonn Greene vs MIA – $10200)

WRs: I like all the same WRs as above.

Evan Moore @ OAK – $3928 Yes, massive gamble here but on Monday CLE said Moore will be playing more as they game planned over the BYE. He’s a 6’6″, 250lbs and only has 7 receptions so far but two are for TDs. The price is great to gamble on, he’s cheaper on DraftDay then he is on FanDuel.

Jake Ballard vs BUF – $3000 This might be the glitch in the matrix. The last two weeks Ballard has seen an increase in targets, most of them in the Red Zone. He has TDs in his last two games as Eli is starting to find him. Really low price considering the 100k salary, he’s worth a flyer here.

Ks: Sebastian Janikowski vs CLE – $5875 Its not often I’m going to write about a kicker but the #1 kicker vs the second worst D on giving up points to kickers. When he’s cheaper on DraftDay ($100k salary system) then on FanDuel ($60k) sure to be a bargin. (Janikowski is $6100 on FD.)

Ds: Steelers – $5760, Bengals – $5740, Bills – $5615.

What is FanDuel and DraftDay? FanDuel is the largest daily fantasy sports site out there and DraftDay is the newest site to launch in this growing market. You can enter many fantasy teams and wager on them legally. To see how this is legal check out my previous post click HERE.