Daily Fantasy Strategy

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Polarizing day, Knight was a steal with 24pts, 5reb, 3ast, and 1slt, Speights and Sessions were mediocre to terrible with about 13FBBs and Tristan Thompson shot 0-5 and laid an egg.

Plenty of room to redeem today with a whopping thirteen games on the schedule.

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Jermey Lin is back in action and still underpriced on DraftDay – $9931. Before you add him to your teams, you should learn the Lin & Fields handshake.

Isaiah Thomas @ WAS ($4900/$6095/$8953/$133k) I’m probably going to get burned for this as I didnt pull the trigger on him last night. Thomas put up 24pts, 3reb, 5ast in a tough match up vs Miami last night. This match up vs Washington is not the greatest, Washington plays tough D vs guards but Thomas’ is coming on strong for Sacramento. Notice how fast DailyJoust’s algorithm adjusted here.

Luke Ridnour vs UTA ($5900/$9931/$8691/$88k) Since back from injury, Ridnour has been avgering 10.3pts, 4.3reb, 50.0ast, 0.8blk and 0.8stls. Utah gives up plenty of points to guards, the match up looks good in what is to be one of the higher scoring games of the night.

Marco Belinelli @ CLE ($5400/$7040/$7567/$84k) Belinelli has been getting the shots, 11 per game in his last five while averaging 15pts, 2.6reb, 1.2ast and 1.4stls in that span. The match up is OK vs Cleveland, not the greatest, but I expect around 15FBptss with an upside of 25.

Jordan Crawford vs SAC ($5700/$7309/$8046/$90k) Crawford has been on the rise the last few games, he’s had back to back 20pt games with a total of 9reb and 5ast in them. Next up, Sacramento in a game where the over/under opened at 201.

Channing Frye vs GS ($6200/$9220/$10897/$106k) With 19pts, 11reb and 2blks in his last game, Frye has the Warriors coming to town that have no ability to stop a big man. (Gortat should match up well here also.) Frye is a bit undervalued for what should be a solid game.

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Yuck. Bell was a really late scratch, Ayon didn’t do much, and Foye took thirteen shots but only hit four. Ersan Ilyasova was great and Speights was just OK, Speights was off to a great start on the night and didn’t produce much in the 2nd half.

Just five games on the schedule today, Miami plays Sacramento so plan your teams around LeBron, Bosh and Wade. (O/U set at 203 pts.) B rating.

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Brandon Knight @ CLE ($6000/8546/$9179/$88k) Knight was a value-darling earlier in the season, then he was hurt for a few games and struggled to return to form. However, in his last two games he’s turned it up a bit and has a decent match up vs Cleveland. Knight’s price is low for what should be 20 FBBs with an upside of 25-30.

Ramon Sessions vs DET ($6200/$8564/$11467/$108k) Sessions is mister consistent with 20FBBpts+ in his last six games which includes three 30FBBpts games. He had 16pts, 7reb, 6ast and 1stl in a earlier meeting vs Detroit this year. Featured here two nights ago he put up 14pts, 6reb, and 5ast but on 5-14 shooting. He should gets the shots, lets hope he makes more than half this time.

Tristan Thompson vs DET ($4900/$6200/$9288/$93k) Thompson was featured here two nights ago and put up 15pts, 12reb, 1ast, 3blks and a 1stl, but what is most important is that was on a season high 30 minutes. He has a good match up vs Detriot and should produce for his cheap price.

Marreese Speights vs PHI ($5800/$7226/$10367/$100k) The big men for Philly, Spencer Hawes and Elton Brand are out. This should create a good match up for Speights (and Gasol as well). Speights seems to be featured every day here but everything is lined up for a good game today.

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HUGE day yesterday! I almost put Lin into the post as he’s still cheap on DraftDay and Lin had a monster game. I stayed away from him but regretted it.

It’s pretty clear Sacramento offers a bonanza of fantasy points for opposing players. I started four players on Cleveland in the line up I posted here and it ranked 18th out of 779 entries in the DraftDay Freeroll. Then there was Ersan Ilyasova who posted a monster stat line with 29pts and 25reb. The only one who was a bit light was MarShon Brooks, but for his price, he was fair.

Tristan Thompson played 30 minutes on Sunday, the most for him on the season and came through big with 15pts, 12reb, 1ast, 1slt and 3blks. He should be value as long as the match up is good and the players ahead of him remain out.

Not sure if you saw this on Saturday but I’ve been alarmed at the racial undertones of the Linsanity phenomena, tbh. Warning: racial comments in the SNL satire form.

Eleven games on the schedule, big day, A+ rating.

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Jeremy Lin is still completely under priced on DraftDay – $8763 and has a great match up vs the Nets.

Randy Foye @ GS ($5300/$6286/$8359/$77k) Foye is coming off his best game of the season on 21pts, 3reb, 4ast and 1stl and has a better match up against Golden State then vs San Antonio. He is the one benefiting the most from Chancey Billups being out of the season with big increases in floor time.

Raja Bell vs SA ($4800/$5005/$5635/$55k) Bell’s minutes have been trending up and he put up double digits in points over his last six games. The match up is good even despite San Antonio winning it’s last 10 games, San Antonio playing it’s six game on the road.

Gustavo Ayon @ OKC ($5900/$6293/$10827/$119k) Ayon has been featured here a few times in the past and now he is getting more minutes the Hornets front court banged up. Gustavo has double doubles in his last two games and the match up is good against the Thunder. He should be quite fair for his price.

Marreese Speights @ HOU ($5700/$7226/$10051/$99k) Averaging 12.6pts, 10.4reb, 0.8ast, 1.0blks over his last five games, Speights has been value and should put up a good stat line against Houston that struggles vs big men.

Ersan Ilysova vs ORL ($6400/$9096/$12182/$138k) Let’s face it, if he gets half his stat line from yesterday, he’ll be value on FD and DD and breaking even elsewhere.

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Strange Saturday for sure, Splitter got hurt and didnt return putting up negative points in performance scoring, Watson shot poorly 3-9, Mayo faired well on 18pts, and Speights was value with 16pts, 8reb.

Ten games on Sunday, a big day for NBA, games start early East Coast time, so get your line ups in, A minus rating. DraftStreet was under maintenance overnight so prices were not available.

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Ramon Sessions vs SAC ($6100/$8472/$NA/$109k) Sessions has put together a string of good games averaging 16.6pts, 3.0reb, and 9.2ast over his last five. We all know a match up vs Sacramento is great and his price is fairly low for what should be a good stat line.

MarShon Brooks vs MIL ($6200/$9477/$NA/$81k) Brooks seems to have returned to the value player he was earlier in the season over the last three games. His playing time saw a dramatic increase the other night and his stats followed with a 19pt, 5reb, 3ast, 1blk, 1slt performance vs Chicago. The match up is decent especially with Jennings likely to be occupied with Deron Williams.

Alonzo Gee vs SAC ($5600/$7529/$NA/$76k) Gee has been cold shooting in his last two games but he still gets the minutes and the shots. No better time to turn it around in a juicy match up vs Sacramento. I was surprised his price is so low considering he’s averaging 14.1pts, 3.7reb, 1.6ast, 0.7stls in his last eight games which includes this 2-11 and 4-14 game over the last two.

Ersan Ilyasova vs NJ ($6300/$9096/$NA/$120k) With our value-star, Drew Gooden out, Ersan has stepped up and put up two very strong games. He’s also good for a few block shots with 6blks in his last three games. If he can stay out of foul trouble, he should produce.

FYLER ALERT Tristan Thompson vs SAC ($4800/$5802/$NA/$64k) With Anderson Varejao out for a while and Semih Erden hurting his wrist, Thompson might actually get the starting call on Sunday vs Sacramento. When Semih Erden went down on Friday, Thompson benefited with 26 minutes and put up 12pts, 6reb, and 2 blks.

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Really frustrating day, Hayward and Fields were total flops while Vasquez, Speights and especially Pekovic came through big.

Just four games on the schedule but some of the match ups should be high scoring, B minus rating.

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CJ Watson vs NJN ($5500/$7542/$9189/$NA) Its tough to not be once-bitten-twice-shy with putting Watson up here again after his less then mediocre performance vs the Celtics. But Rose is a game time decision and I’m going to guess Rose does not play as they can beat the Nets without him. Watson did not shoot well the other night, he went 3-11, but the key is the touches, he’s getting the shots and should get some assists to Boozer and Deng as well.

OJ Mayo vs GS ($5900/$8350/$7872/$NA) Mayo was hot last night on 7-14 shooting, 3-6 from three point land giving him 17pts, 2reb, 1ast, 1blk and 2slts. The match up is great vs Golden State as the game should be a high scoring shoot out (197pt O/U). Hopefully he keeps heating up and comes through, the price is right for it.

Marreese Speights @ GS ($5600/$6956/$9773/$NA) As long as Speights is getting the minutes and the algorithms have not caught up yet, he’s great value. He has a fantastic match up against Golden State which heavily struggles against big men. Plus David Lee just cannot play defense anyway…

Tiago Splitter @ LAC ($5600/$7513/$9192/$NA) Splitter has been quite steady in this last five games averaging 13.0pts, 5.0reb, 1.4ast, 0.8blks and 0.6stls. The match up is good and his price is low, there is value here.

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Fairly uneventful day yesterday, as predicted. I avoided any cash entries with just three games.

Eleven games on the schedule for Friday night, A rating.

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Greivis Vasquez @ NYK ($5800/$6959/$10244/$88k) While Jarret Jack might come back, he looks to be a game time decision, so keep an close eye on who is starting against the Knicks. For all the hype of Jeremy Lin, I havent seen anyone rave about his defense and guards have been tearing up the Knicks.

Gordon Hayward vs WAS ($6000/$8293/$9356/$86k) Hayward is a gunner, who can be extremely streaky. He hit the wall on Tuesday night as Utah got blown out by Oklahoma City on 0-6 shooting on only 16 minutes. There is nothing anywhere that he was hurt, he just shot poorly, Utah trailed and he got pulled. Shooters like Hayward are going to have these games, he should bounce back in a great match up vs Washington.

Landry Fields vs NO ($6100/$8567/$10002/$97k) I am avoiding Jeremy Lin; I think he looked a bit tired the other night and I’m sure the pressure has enormous. That being said, Fields has a great match up and has been fairly consistent as he’s averaging 12.8pts, 6.6reb, 3.8ast over his last four games.

Marreese Speights vs DEN ($5300/$6956/$9231/$100k) Speights is coming off a huge game where he put up 20pts, 18reb, 1ast, and 2blks. He’s starting and has the talent to produce. The match up vs Den is in his favor with Mozgov, Gallinari, and Nene Halario out.

Nikola Pekovic @ HOU ($6200/$8203/$12532/$132k) The price is finally catching up with his performance on DraftStreet and DailyJoust. Pekovic has double doubles in his last three games and has a great match up for big men vs Houston. He should be great for his price right now, which likely will not last.

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Big day yesterday, Wilcox put up 17pts, 9reb and 3ast for his small price, Pekovic had a double double 21pts, 11reb, 2ast, 3blks, Batum came through with 17pts, 4reb, 2ast, 2stls, Kemba was Kemba with 21pts, 6reb 2ast, 1stl, only Lin and Delfino were on the low-side. Lin had 6 TOs that kept him out of the 30pt range, Defino had a so-so game with 11pts, 3reb, 1ast, and 3stls.

Just three games on the schedule tonight, not much action, C-minus rating. DraftDay has actually modified their lineups to have five players and $52,500 salary cap.

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CJ Watson vs BOS ($5400/$7531/$9382/$91k) I featured Watson here on Tuesday and he came up short on just 4-11 shooting. Versus the Celtics on Sunday Watson put up 22pts, 2reb, 6ast and Derrick Rose is likely going to be out again tonight.

Paul George vs NJN ($6600/$9668/$11375/$94k) George isnt the cheapest but he has a good match up and has been consistent as of late averaging 10.2pts, 6.0reb, 1.4ast, and 1.0stls over his last five games. George put up 24pts, 4reb, 1ast, 1blk, and 1stl vs the Nets on January 31st. He should be good value at this price.

Anthony Morrow @ IND ($5900/$8747/$8522/$89k) Morrow gets the minutes and is getting back in the flow of things after missing a game last Monday for personal reasons. He put up 17pts, 3reb, and 3ast last night in 29 minutes. He has a good match up vs Indy and could break out tonight.

Chris Wilcox vs CHI ($4700/$4976/$5981/$70k) Garnett will be a game time decision tonight but that doesnt mean Wilcox will not get minutes, he still should as he’s been playing well last night. Wilcox was the value pick of the night last night with 17pts, 5reb, 2ast, and 1stl. On Sunday (with Garnett playing) he had 11pts, 9reb, 1ast, and 1blk, which would be great value if he can put up a similar linee tonight.

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Everyone is probably sick of the Linsanity but this video is worth sharing:

Mediocre day yesterday, Affalo, Ibaka and WTF Jeremy Lin, he won the fcking game!

Those three came through big but the other two picks were pretty disappointing. Watson got the shots, he didnt make them and Booker was in foul trouble and only was out there 23 minutes. Those are the breaks at times but if you shuffle three line ups with some steady match ups, you should be able to produce. Once again, I had about $1k left over in the lineup to the left here, I use the freeroll to put all my picks in the same place.

Thirteen games on the schedule, some GREAT match ups, an A+++ day!

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Jeremy Lin vs SAC ($6600/$7998/$15424/$138k) The match up is great vs Sacramento. He’s Jeremy f’n Lin. Play him. (Again look at the crazy low price on DraftDay!)

Nicolas Batum @ GS ($6400/$9712/$11169/$111k) Batum put up a huge line last night with 33pts, 4reb, 1ast, 1blk, 1slt and has a great match up vs Golden State. Aldridge left last nights game in the first two minutes with a sprained ankle and will likely sit on Wednesday. Look for Batum to have another big game. He also did this:

Kemba Walker @ MIN ($6400/9538/$10474/$108k) Walker has been very solid as of late averaging 17.4pts, 3.6reb, 4.0ast, 0.4stls over his last five games. He faces a good match up vs Minnesota and should come through as he’s the the go to guy for Charlotte.

Carlos Delfino vs NO ($5800/$7857/$9083/$96k) Delfino has been featured here a few times. I missed the other night but then vs Miami he put up a 24pt, 1reb, 4ast, 2slt line. The match up vs New Orleans is great, he’ll get the minutes and the shots, lets home he makes them.

Chris Wilcox vs DET ($4700/$4976/$5981/$60k) Garnett and Bass are likely out, ONeal is a bit hobbled so Wilcox got the nod the versus the Bulls to start on Sunday and turned in a 11pts, 9reb, 1ast, 1blk line and that was with Garnett playing 29 minutes. Wilcox has a better match up, three days rest and a bigger role to fill. He should start and produce.

Nikola Pekovic vs CHA ($6100/$7863/$12006/$113k) Pekovic has been super steady since KLove’s suspension averaging 23pts, 10.reb, 1.0blk, 1.4stls in his last five games. Another great match up for him and he’s a strong play as in integral part of Minnesota’s offense now.

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